What is risk?
Risk is defined as a combination of the likelihood of the disease and the impact of that disease, should it occur. Impacts can be to animal, human, or environmental health, to businesses, or financial in nature.
When considering risk in relation to PPE selection, we need to think about the
likelihood of exposure to a pathogen, and the impact that that pathogen could
potentially have on our health, or the health of others via transmission.
In this case, we have a horse displaying neurological signs. Differential
aetiological diagnoses for development of
acute neurological signs in horses include Hendra virus, Australian Bat
Lyssavirus (ABLV) and Japanese Encephalitis
virus. Each of these viruses can cause morbidity and mortality in people, so the
potential impacts are severe. However,
Japanese Encephalitis virus is transmitted via mosquitoes, not directly from
horses to humans, so human infection is
very unlikely. ABLV is not known to be directly transmissible from horses to
humans, but it is known that lyssaviruses
are present in the saliva of clinically infected animals and therefore may pose
a risk to handlers. This mode of
transmission has been well documented for Hendra virus. Therefore, the
estimation of risk should rate Hendra virus as
greatest risk, then ABLV and then Japanese encephalitis.